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Huaibei Mining: Director and General Manager Qiu Dan Resigns Due to Job Transfer 淮北矿业:董事、总经理邱丹因工作调动辞职

Why are Zhipu AI and MiniMax in such a hurry to return to the A-share market? This question reveals the most pressing anxieties faced by China's AI startups. While their Silicon Valley counterparts are discussing how to implement large language models for profit, China’s leading players are struggling to determine the right venue and timing for their IPOs—a situation that is, in itself, thought-provoking. 智谱和MiniMax为什么急着回A股?这个问题背后藏着中国AI创业公司最现实的焦虑。当硅谷同行在讨论如何将大模型落地赚钱时,我们的头部玩家却在为上市地点和时机绞尽脑汁——这本身就值得玩味。

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Why are Zhipu AI and MiniMax in such a hurry to return to the A-share market? This question reveals the most pressing anxieties faced by China's AI startups. While their Silicon Valley counterparts are discussing how to implement large models for profit, China’s leading players are struggling to determine the right venue and timing for their IPOs—a situation that is, in itself, thought-provoking.

News of MiniMax planning to list on the STAR Market, combined with recent rumors of capital operations by Zhipu AI, serves as a striking footnote in the current AI landscape. Their choice is quite clear: amid tightening overseas listing channels and a retreating tide of US dollar funds, the A-share market—especially the STAR Market—has become one of the few places where a “hard tech” narrative can still be told. But the question remains: can large models still be considered “hard tech” today? Even OpenAI is struggling to recoup costs through ChatGPT Plus subscriptions. So where exactly does the confidence of our companies come from when rushing into the capital market with just a concept?

Look at another trending story: Silicon Valley giants have begun limiting employees’ token usage. This is practically dark humor. On one side, we are still burning money on computing power and celebrating sky-high valuations; on the other, they are already fine-tuning operational costs and starting to “use sparingly.” This contrast signals that the industry is entering a deeper phase—the era of storytelling based solely on parameter scale and API calls is over. Now, you have to prove you can make money sustainably and efficiently. And the A-share market, especially retail investors, often lacks patience for such complex tech-business logic, preferring straightforward narratives like “technological breakthroughs” or “domestic substitution.” Companies choosing to return to the A-share market are, to some extent, opting for an audience that is both easier to understand and more easily swayed.

The news about the viral rise of “one-person companies” is quite interesting. Some are earning millions a year, while others have seen their income shrink by 90%. Isn’t this the inevitable outcome after the widespread adoption of AI tools? The democratization of production tools never leads to universal wealth, but rather a more extreme Matthew effect. Top talent uses AI to multiply efficiency; most others find that lowered barriers only intensify competition. AI hasn’t eliminated differences in work—it has likely amplified the variance in individual capabilities. The claims that “AI will replace everyone’s jobs” can take a rest; AI is more about redefining the nature of “work” itself, pushing some to the center of the stage while pushing others further to the margins.

Then there’s Microsoft’s “3.3k stars in a week” self-evolving skill project. A giant like Microsoft researching “how to train skills like training neural networks” is laying the groundwork for the next platform paradigm. When AI evolves from “generating content” to “executing actions” and “completing tasks,” the real productivity revolution will have begun. Meanwhile, some of our companies may still be preoccupied with the conversational fluency of their next version. The gap in strategic vision is fully exposed in the emphasis placed on foundational versus applied research.

Ultimately, the rush of Zhipu AI and MiniMax to return to the A-share market is, on the surface, a capital choice, but at its core, it is a survival strategy. Pressured from multiple fronts—being strangled at the frontier of technology, facing arduous commercialization overseas, and dealing with price wars and homogenized competition domestically—quickly accessing the capital market for ammunition has become the most realistic option. But this is a stimulant, not a cure. Will the funds raised from going public be used to burn through the next quarter’s computing bills, or will they be truly invested in foundational research and differentiated implementations that can build long-term competitive moats? This is the key to determining whether they become the next “true tech giants” or just another “valuation bubble” in the capital market.

The restoration of access to Tianya Community feels poetically out of place in this context. A relic of an old-era BBS being reopened at the peak of the AI wave is like a delayed digital archaeological dig. It reminds us that technology is always sprinting forward, but the human desire for communication, expression, and the need to mark the passage of time remains an unchanging backdrop. AI can generate everything, but it cannot generate a “sense of history” or “community memory.”

In the final analysis, the choices made in the capital market are a mirror reflecting the collective subconscious of the industry—its fears and desires. The rush to go public stems from fear of missing the window; choosing the A-share market comes from having no other options. The bill for this AI feast is being transferred from global USD funds to domestic retail investors. Going forward, it remains to be seen whether these highly anticipated companies can use real technological prowess to forge a moat, or if they will repeatedly explain during earnings calls why their gross profit margins remain so low.

智谱和MiniMax为什么急着回A股?这个问题背后藏着中国AI创业公司最现实的焦虑。当硅谷同行在讨论如何将大模型落地赚钱时,我们的头部玩家却在为上市地点和时机绞尽脑汁——这本身就值得玩味。

MiniMax拟科创板上市的消息,和智谱近期资本运作的传闻,构成了当下AI赛道一个鲜明的注脚。它们的选择其实很明确:在海外上市通道收紧、美元基金退潮的大背景下,A股,尤其是科创板,成了为数不多的能讲出“硬科技”故事的地方。但问题是,大模型现在还算是“硬科技”吗?当OpenAI都在靠ChatGPT Plus订阅制艰难回血时,我们的公司拿着概念冲向资本市场,底气究竟在哪里?

看看热榜里另一条新闻:硅谷大厂开始限制员工的Token用量。这简直是地狱笑话。这边厢我们还在为算力烧钱、为估值狂欢;那边厢人家已经在精细化运营成本,开始“省着用”了。这种对比揭示了行业进入深水区的信号——纯靠参数规模和API调用讲故事的时代结束了,现在得证明你能持续赚钱,而且赚得有效率。而A股市场,尤其是散户投资者,往往对这种复杂的技术-商业逻辑缺乏耐心,更喜欢直接的“技术突破”或“国产替代”叙事。公司们选择回A,某种程度上是选择了更懂也更容易被煽动的观众。

“一人公司”爆火的新闻很有意思。有人年赚百万,有人收入缩水90%。这不就是AI工具普及后的必然景象吗?生产工具民主化的结果,从来不是均富,而是更极致的马太效应。顶级的人用AI如虎添翼,效率翻倍;大多数人则发现门槛降低后,竞争反而惨烈了。AI没有消灭工作差异,反而可能放大了个人能力的方差。那些鼓吹“AI取代所有人工作”的论调可以歇歇了,它更多是在重塑“工作”的定义本身,把一部分人推到舞台中央,把另一部分人挤得更远。

再看微软那个“一周3.3k star”的技能自我进化项目。微软这种巨头,研究如何“像训练神经网络一样训练技能”,是在为下一个平台范式布局。当AI从“生成内容”进化到“执行动作”、“完成任务”,真正的生产力革命才算开始。而我们的一些公司,可能还在纠结于下一个版本的对话流畅度。战略视野的差距,在这种基础研究和应用研究的侧重上,体现得淋漓尽尽致。

所以,智谱和MiniMax着急回A股,表面是资本选择,深层是生存策略。在技术前沿被卡脖子、在海外商业化举步维艰、在国内面临价格战和同质化竞争的多重挤压下,快速登陆资本市场获取弹药,成了最现实的选择。但这是一剂强心针,而非解药。上市融来的钱,是用来烧下一个季度的算力账单,还是真正投向能建立长期护城河的基础研究和差异化落地?这才是决定它们是成为下一个“真·科技巨头”,还是成为资本市场上又一个“估值泡沫”的关键。

天涯社区恢复访问,在这个语境下显得有点时空错位的诗意。一个旧时代的BBS遗迹,在AI浪潮顶峰被重新打开,像一场迟来的数字考古。它提醒我们,技术永远在狂奔,但人类交流和表达的欲望,以及记录时间痕迹的需求,是不变的底色。AI能生成一切,但生成不了“历史感”和“社区记忆”。

归根到底,资本市场的选择是一面镜子,照出的是行业集体潜意识里的恐慌与渴望。急着上市,是因为害怕错过窗口;选择A股,是因为别无他选。这场AI盛宴的买单者正在从全球美元基金转向国内股民。接下来,就看这些被寄予厚望的公司,是能用技术真金砸出护城河,还是会在财报电话会议上,反复解释为何毛利率还是那么低。

Disclaimer: The above content is generated by AI and is for reference only. 免责声明:以上内容由 AI 生成,仅供参考。

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